Texas A&M Football vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 11

Nov 4, 2023; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs head coach Zach Arnett reacts during the fourth quarter against the Kentucky Wildcats at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 4, 2023; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs head coach Zach Arnett reacts during the fourth quarter against the Kentucky Wildcats at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports /
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Texas A&M football
Nov 4, 2023; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs head coach Zach Arnett reacts during the fourth quarter against the Kentucky Wildcats at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports /

Last week was a swift kick (or punch?) to the pants for Texas A&M football. The Aggies were so close to pulling out a huge, top-10 win on the road against a team that, by all rights, they should have beaten. Texas A&M football was completely controlling the game on offense in the second half, but they fell just short. It doesn’t get more demoralizing than that for most Aggie fans, and now rumblings about coaching changes have begun to emerge.

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That said, the Aggies still have three games left to play this year. However unlikely, 9 wins are still achievable. That happens one game at a time, and the Aggies return home this week for what should hopefully be an easy conference win. Let’s see what oddsmakers think about this game against the Bulldogs.

Texas A&M Football vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread and Total

This is the biggest favorite the Aggies have been against a Power 5 team this year. This adds up, as not only is Mississippi State somewhat deficient even at full strength, they may be down to their third-string quarterback. Hopefully, the Aggies aren’t also down to their third string quarterback, but some comments from Jimbo and message board rumors have made that seem like something more than just a faint possibility. Even so, the Aggies are far more talented than this opponent and should defeat them easily.

Texas A&M Football vs. Mississippi State How to Watch

Date: November 11, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 PM ET/6:30 PM CT
Venue: Kyle Field in College Station, TX
How to Watch: ESPN2 or streaming
Texas A&M Record: 5-4
Mississippi State Record: 4-5

Texas A&M Football vs. Mississippi State Key Players to Watch

Here’s who to keep your eye on for each team:

Mississippi State

Tulu Griffin: The leading receiver for the Bulldogs and do-it-all offensive weapon, Griffin is a guy you have to keep your eye on at all times as a defense. Against South Carolina, Griffin ran wild to the tune of 265 all purpose yards. They’ll hand the ball off to him in the backfield, get it to him on punt returns, or in the passing game.

Jett Johnson: Johnson is a great LB! He’s not as good as Edgerrin Cooper, but somehow Johnson was named to the Butkus award watchlist over Cooper. It doesn’t make sense!! In any case, you’ll be hearing this guy’s name a lot, as he racks up 10.22 tackles per game and 1.22 TFLs per game.

Woody Marks: The top back in the rotation for the Bulldogs, I still remember seeing Marks play as a freshman in that 2020 blowout the Aggies laid down in Starkville. He was making some hay against what was a pretty salty rush defense even then, and has continued to show his quality since then, averaging 5.15 YPC so far this year.

Texas A&M

Le’Veon Moss: Moss had another injury this past week, but hopefully he’ll be able to go for this one. I have a feeling, no matter whether Max Johnson starts or not, that the run game will be key in this matchup. Amari Daniels showed me something against Ole Miss, but I still consider Moss the most complete back of the three.

Edgerrin Cooper: Coop was slighted big time this past week by not being named a Butkus semifinalist, so I anticipate he’ll come out there with something to prove, especially given that the other team features a guy who was named to the watch list. By the end of the night, I foresee Coop leaving no doubt who the better ‘backer is.

Ainias Smith: This will be Ainias’s final night game at Kyle as well as his final conference game at home. I think he’ll have something special in store for us; he already has a penchant for making some daring plays in the return game, so whether it’s there or some dazzling yards after a catch, I think we’ll see Smith find the end zone—maybe more than once.

Texas A&M Football vs. Mississippi State: Prediction and Pick

Even if the Aggies are forced to start Jaylen Henderson at quarterback, Texas A&M football is more than capable of wearing down the Bulldogs with a heavy dose of the run game. We saw how effectively the offense could control a game when the OL is playing well in the second half last week, and the defense won’t be facing anything near the kind of challenge they did last week. I foresee this one being an easy victory for the Aggies—I’m going with 27-3.

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