ESPN's updated FPI rankings are either fueling Texas A&M football hope or delusion

The latest FPI ratings are providing dangerous levels of hope for Texas A&M fans.
Former MBA quarterback and current Texas A&M starter Marcel Reed speaks at the start of a kids’ football camp held at MBA Saturday, July 12, 2025.
Former MBA quarterback and current Texas A&M starter Marcel Reed speaks at the start of a kids’ football camp held at MBA Saturday, July 12, 2025. | Alan Poizner/For The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

As a rule, optimism is always at an all-time high for college football fans right before a season actually kicks off, and Texas A&M fans are no different. Generally speaking, there are many among the Aggie faithful that see A&M having a legitimate shot at doing something amazing this upcoming year, and there's plenty of reason to agree with them.

Of course, you'll have your usual detractors— the Texas, LSU, and Alabama fans of the world who look for reasons to talk down on A&M even when uninvited. But as things begin to shape up this upcoming year, it's looking like the optimists have more of a leg to stand on than the pessimists.

The recent update to SP+ sees the Aggies as one of the top 13 teams in the country, despite the AP Poll putting Texas A&M down at 19 ahead of the season. Now, the most recent update to ESPN's FPI has the Aggies as a top-10 team— something which other fans may call delusional, but a ranking that is actually well-justified.

Texas A&M fans can dream big for 2025 season after latest update to ESPN FPI

The Aggies come in as the 9th-best team in the country per the latest FPI ratings.

That well outstrips the AP Poll rating for the Ags, which has them 10 spots lower. FPI provides a bevy of other metrics, too, based on their in-house ratings that will also make for some fodder among Aggie fans.

Even though the Aggies are in the top 10, they have the lowest win projection of any of those teams based on their highly difficult schedule. Though they only play two teams ranked ahead of them, they also play South Carolina and LSU, who are ranked just behind— and they have to take on the Tigers on the road.

It's worth noting that these are average win total projections, as well, hence the decimal points. Obviously, no one can get a "half a win" in a game, so A&M could certainly exceed this with ease.