2024 12-team College Football Playoff rankings prediction after week four

Taking a guess at what the final 12-team College Football Playoff field will look like after what we learned in week four.

Jan 9, 2024; Houston, TX, USA; College Football Playoff senior director of communications Brett Daniels poses with CFP National Championship trophy at press conference at JW Marriot Houston by the Galleria. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Jan 9, 2024; Houston, TX, USA; College Football Playoff senior director of communications Brett Daniels poses with CFP National Championship trophy at press conference at JW Marriot Houston by the Galleria. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Week four of college football has come and gone. So far, we’ve had several exciting appetizers, but the main course of the season is just starting to be served.

One of the most consequential games of the entire year is on the slate this weekend, when Georgia visits Alabama in Tuscaloosa. This is a huge litmus test early in the DeBoer era, and a prove-it game for Georgia to get over the hump against Alabama.

Elsewhere, Penn State will face a test with Illinois coming to town, and Oklahoma State will face off with Kansas State in a potentially consequential game for the Big 12 standings. There’s plenty to keep your eye on this week, in other words.

There’s been a bit of a shakeup from last week’s rankings after the action in week four. Let’s see how things shake out.

Rank

Team

Why they are here

Previous ranking

1

Ohio State

Big 10 Champion

1

2

Georgia

SEC Champion

2

3

Miami (FL)

ACC Champion

3

4

UCF

Big 12 Champion

NR

5

Alabama

At-Large

9

6

Oregon

At-Large

11

7

Tennessee

At-Large

5

8

Penn State

At-Large

8

9

Clemson

At-Large

10

10

Ole Miss

At-Large

5

11

Utah

At-Large

4

12

Boise State

MWC Champion

NR

I'm becoming more settled on these being the four teams that the SEC gets into the playoff: Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, and Ole Miss. There's a strong possibility that they eventually add a fifth, but for now I'm on four.

Here's how I think that happens: Alabama finishes 11-1, with a loss to Tennessee. Tennessee finishes 11-2, with two losses to Georgia—one in Athens, one in Atlanta. Georgia finishes 12-1, with a loss to Alabama in Tuscaloosa, and Ole Miss finishes 11-1 with a loss to Georgia in Oxford.

It would be tough to leave Ole Miss out at that record, but UGA is really their only big game. There's a chance UGA would be number one with that record, given who they would have beaten, but I have OSU running the table, so I don't know they move above an undefeated.

I've also added UCF as the Big 12 champion because I think that would be very entertaining. May it be!

Schedule

Schedule