Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Missouri: 9.5

Can Drinkwitz keep the magic going? With star receiver Luther Burden III returning, as well as QB Brady Cook, big things are expected of the Tigers. Losing DC Blake Baker may be a bigger blow than expected, however.

What does help the Tigers is having probably the easiest schedule in the entire conference for the upcoming year. Their first four games are Murray State, Buffalo, Boston College, and Vanderbilt. They get an off week before rolling into College Station for their first big test. 

Their remaining road games? At UMass (yes, really), at Bama, at South Carolina, and at Mississippi State. As I mentioned, those last two are back to back. It’s not often teams win back to back road conference games in the SEC, but those are two of the easier opponents to accomplish that feat against.

They host Auburn, OU, and Arkansas to finish out their home slate. If we grant them six wins against those first four, UMass, and Arkansas, they need to find two more among that group of A&M, Auburn, Alabama, Oklahoma and sweep that road trip at the end of the season.

Auburn and Oklahoma are the prime candidates here. The thing that worries me the most for the Tigers is the SC-MSU road trip at the end. I just feel like the trap game aspect will jump up and get them on one end or the other. There’s too many leaps here for me to feel comfortable; give me the UNDER, but just barely.