Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Oklahoma: 7.5

OU is another team with an easy start, though not quite to the same degree as Missouri. Temple, Houston, and Tulane are their first three. The Green Wave haven’t been an easy out in recent years, but Tyjae Spears and Michael Pratt will be gone by this point. From there, things begin to ratchet up.

The Sooners have six top-16 opponents on the schedule: Tennessee, Texas, at Ole Miss, Missouri, Alabama, and at LSU. They have another easy win against Maine on the schedule, as well as hosting the South Carolina Gamecocks. A trip to Auburn is a toss-up.

Again, let’s grant the four out-of-conference games—there shouldn’t be a whole lot in the way of competition there. Can they find four more among this group?

If so, they’ll have to defeat at least two of those ranked opponents. No matter what you tell me, I will steadfastly believe that the Red River Rivalry is always a coin flip. 

Traveling to Missouri probably slightly favors the Tigers, and closing the season at LSU is a sure loss in my book. I’m not sure they can handle Alabama, and even where South Carolina is slotted—between Texas and a trip to Oxford—could leap up and bite the Sooners.

This is another one where I just have too many questions. The Sooners will get a nice welcome to the SEC this year with a six or seven win season—give me the UNDER.