Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — South Carolina: 5.5

The Gamecocks, now entering the fourth year under Shane Beamer, need a big season after last year’s disappointment. Unfortunately, they probably have the second-toughest schedule in the conference in 2024.

You have Vandy on the schedule, which helps. Wofford, Old Dominion, and Akron are all wins as well. They would just need to scrape together two more wins to hit the over. Can they manage it?

That’s two out of the following group: at Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss, at Alabama, at OU, Texas A&M, Missouri, and at Clemson. That is not easy.

Now, some of these come at opportune times for the Gamecocks. They catch OU in between huge games—at the same time, though, that’s the second half of a back to back roadtrip for the Gamecocks, the first half of which is in Tuscaloosa. Could they trip up Missouri at home? Possibly.

LSU would certainly be a signature win for Beamer, but I’m really not sure they can stand up to the Tigers, talent-wise. Could they possibly catch Ole Miss off-guard? The Gamecocks have an off week beforehand, and the Rebels have LSU the following week. 

Overall, I just have too difficult a time seeing the Gamecocks getting to bowl eligibility this year outside of some pretty big upsets. Now, we saw that happen two years ago when Carolina took down Tennessee and Clemson in back to back games, but that was highly improbable. I’m afraid I’ll have to take the UNDER for South Carolina this year.