Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Tennessee: 9.5

Tennessee has enough shame this year to schedule a Power 5 opponent in the non-conference—and a pretty good one! They will face off against NC State in Charlotte in week 2: one of the more interesting noncon games of the year, all things considered.

Looking at the slate the Vols face, I feel good about seven games off the cuff: Chattanooga, Kent State, at Arkansas, Florida, Mississippi State, UTEP, and at Vanderbilt. Alabama and at Georgia are probably both losses. Can they sweep Kentucky, NC State, and at Oklahoma? That’s what would be required for the Volunteers to hit the over here. 

I’ll say this: I am very high on Nico Iamaleava, the QB for the Vols. He’s talented enough to lift that team into the stratosphere, if all goes well. He’s the kind of guy who could win one of those Alabama and Georgia games on a perfect night, but I’m trying to play the odds here.

I’m very much on the fence here. If the Vols do go under, I think it’ll be just by a game. I do keep coming back to that time and time again, though: I think 9 wins is where the Vols end up at the end of the regular season. Give me the UNDER.