Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Texas A&M: 8.5

As I’ve written about several times, this upcoming season for Texas A&M comes down to their four huge home games. Notre Dame to kick off the season, Missouri in the first week of October, LSU midway through October, and closing the season versus Texas. 

The toughest road game for A&M is the penultimate weekend of the season, when they visit Auburn. Aside from that, they face Mississippi State and South Carolina on the road, as well as the Florida Gators. That’s a pretty easy road slate, all things considered.

Starkville has been a house of horrors for A&M in recent years, but they do get a bye week beforehand. Auburn could have things figured out by that late in the season, but I’d still favor the Aggies there at this point.

As we’ve discussed, Florida will be pretty bad, but that will be a huge game for the Gators, given what is coming down the pike for them—as well as the first road game of the Elko era. The Aggies have only lost one to the Gamecocks since the series began in 2014, and I don’t see that changing.

I’m a big believer in what Elko is doing in College Station. His teams in Durham were well-coached and never took opponents for granted. His hires have been impressive, and could well unlock the extremely high level of talent on campus for the Aggies. Give me the OVER for Texas A&M.