Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Vanderbilt: 2.5

There are two likely wins for the Commodores on this schedule: Alcorn State and Ball State. Apart from those two, Clark Lea’s group may have a rough go of things.

They’re not going to win a game in the conference slate. South Carolina is the easiest game they have, and it is also the team with the longest winning streak against them in what is now formerly the SEC east.

Their last two non-conference games are against Virginia Tech at home in Nashville and a road trip to Atlanta to play Georgia State. If they can split those, they hit the over.

Georgia State just hired Dell McGee from UGA after their former head coach Shawn Elliott departed for South Carolina. That’s going to be an unknown for me, but it’s hard to call it a sure thing for the Commodores.

Virginia Tech hasn’t been good recently, but they’re still better than Vanderbilt. It’s not like a trip to Nashville will be anything of an intimidation factor for the Hokies, either, but strange things can happen in the first game of the season.

The more I think about it, the more I think that Vandy can scrape together three wins. Though they have to travel to Georgia State (strangely), I still have them with the advantage in that one—though, as I say, nothing is guaranteed when it comes to the Commodores.

All things considered, though, I think they can get to that number. Anything beyond? Probably not. But I’m going to have to go with the OVER here.