Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — Kentucky: 6.5

Only in the SEC could you see a team ranked 23rd in the preseason whose projected win has them barely above bowl eligibility. The grind of this conference is unparalleled.

I think I can be forgiven for counting Southern Miss, Ohio, Vandy, and Murray State as wins. That means, to hit the over, the Wildcats need to win three of the following: South Carolina, Georgia, at Ole Miss, at Florida, Auburn, at Tennessee, at Texas, Louisville.

If you squint, I think you can find three wins in there. Carolina has only won once in Lexington in the last ten years, and is 3-7 overall in that span. Florida could have the light completely gone from their eyes by that point in the season. And in a completely non-hater way, I think Kentucky might be able to catch the Longhorns sleeping as well. Add in that a home contest against Auburn is a coin-flip, and that anything can happen in a rivalry game with Louisville, and I’m feeling the OVER for the Wildcats.