Predicting whether every SEC team goes over or under their 2024 preseason win totals

Making some educated guesses as to which SEC teams will live up to expectations, and which will disappoint in 2024.

Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency
Jul 10, 2017; Hoover, AL, USA; The Southeastern Conference logo is shown on the Hyatt Regency / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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SEC win projections — LSU: 9.5

How will the Tigers look post-Jayden Daniels? Post-Malik Nabers? Heck, post-Brian Thomas?

Not only has each piece of that three-headed monster now departed, the man who coordinated the offense is now in South Bend. That’s not a great sign for the LSU attack to be supremely high-powered in 2024. Garrett Nussmeier has a great arm, but I don’t think they will be able to replicate anything near what they had going last year.

Will the defense be improved? Maybe. You’d really hope so, if you’re an LSU fan. Early returns aren’t exactly great, based on Kelly’s comments, but it kind of feels like anything would be an upgrade from Matt House right now. Blake Baker sure seems like he should be.

LSU hosts Alabama, Oklahoma, and Ole Miss. A visit to Kyle Field, where they are 0 for their last 3, is also on the schedule. To hit the over here, you can do no worse than 2-2 in those games—and that’s not even to mention an opening bout with USC in Las Vegas. A trip to Columbia, SC in the early part of the season shouldn’t be underestimated, either. 

There’s just too much treachery on the schedule and too little returning for this Tiger team. I have the UNDER on LSU this year.