Shocking analysis of Texas A&M baseball's regional proves one thing must be true

Texas A&M baseball is facing yet another extremely tough draw as a result of an NCAA tournament selection committee— in other words, fork found in kitchen. This has become a disappointing yet easily-anticipated eventuality from any and all selection committees when it comes to the Aggies— at some point, you'd expect the Aggies to get some kind of favorable draw, but it always turns out either pretty neutral or extremely tough.

USC, Texas State, and Lamar is a really harsh group to have to go up against, but the numbers show that it's even worse than fans originally thought. We have seen the Aggies go up against Texas State, splitting a two game series that spanned College Station and San Marcos about a half-month or so apart, and Lamar, who they demolished 25-5 early on in the season.

Of course, that was far from the Cardinals' best performance, as it was a midweek game where they weren't utilizing their ace— a guy that completely transforms their team when he's out there playing. And both games against the Bobcats were a little too close for comfort, as well.

So just at first blush, we can see that these are extremely difficult three and four seeds to deal with— but take one look at the numbers, and we can see that it's even worse than that. The RPI numbers show that Texas A&M may have the worst draw out of any of the regionals by virtue of the committee dropping them so far.

Detailed analysis of Texas A&M baseball's regional shows just how difficult their draw is

Texas A&M's regional has by far the highest seed of any of the other regionals, as USC is the 9th-ranked RPI team. That's a complete travesty— but it gets even worse.

There are some regionals here that have a relatively highly-ranked two seed and a decent three seed. However, in all of those regionals, the fourth team ranks in the triple digits in RPI— for the Aggies, no such luck.

There are only two regionals with a higher average RPI among the two, three, and four seeds than that of the Aggies: Southern Miss and Kansas. Kansas is the 15-seed, and USM is the 9-seed. These tough matchups should have been shifted way down in the seed lines of these regionals, but they were not.

The average RPI, of course, can be a bit deceiving. Some regionals, like Nebraska, have two pretty highly-ranked seeds, and a four-seed that's way down the list— so despite Ole Miss and Arizona State being formidable opponents for the Cornhuskers, San Diego State being ranked 239 in RPI means that the average ranking is way down there.

Having one extremely difficult opponent is the key here, and the Aggies have the most difficult of them all. USC is the highest-ranked team in RPI not to be hosting a regional, and where do they end up? Right smack dab in the middle of College Station. Who could have foreseen this?

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Yes, this is quite the difficult draw for the Aggies, but they've struggled through adversity before this season. The good news is that, if A&M makes it through regional play, there's a decent chance they'll be hosting a super regional thanks to the difficulty of UNC's regional as well.

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