With Selection Sunday looming, Texas A&M basketball prays recency bias doesn't drop them a seed line

Texas A&M basketball is right on the cut line between two different seeds in the latest bracketology update. Can they hang on in these final days?
ByGraham Harmon|
Texas A&M Aggies forward Henry Coleman III (15) looks to his team during the second game of the SEC Men's Basketball Tournament at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., Thursday, March 13, 2025.
Texas A&M Aggies forward Henry Coleman III (15) looks to his team during the second game of the SEC Men's Basketball Tournament at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., Thursday, March 13, 2025. | Nicole Hester / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Texas A&M basketball's projected seed in the NCAA tournament has varied wildly over the course of this season. The Aggies have flirted with one-seed territory and have been as low as a five or six seed at different points.

As we've come down the stretch, though, most have had the Aggies as a solid three-seed. This was cemented with their win over Auburn last week, but losing in the first game of the SEC tournament has drawn that back into question.

Joe Lunardi of ESPN has dropped his latest predictions for the March Madness NCAA tournament, and he has the Aggies falling out of their 3-seed perch down to a 4. That's a significant drop, as the 4 seed would be facing off against the 1 seed in the Sweet Sixteen, provided both make it. Can the Aggies prove Lunardi wrong and hold onto a 3 seed here in the final days?

Texas A&M basketball needs recency bias to not be a factor in selection process

Texas A&M basketball's late-season troubles, despite their win over Auburn, could be pointing the Aggies' chances at a higher seed south, as we saw in Lunardi's bracketology. But encouragingly, a representative from the selection committee has dismissed that recency bias will be a factor.

The Aggies' overall resume, viewed as a whole, is as good as anyone's in the country. They've faced down multiple top teams and won their fair share of games. They don't have inexcusable losses like some previous Buzz teams have suffered.

But still, the history of A&M and selection committees has not been spotless, to say the least. Until the seeds are done and dusted, the Aggies will need to keep their fingers crossed that they don't drop down to a four seed.

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