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Texas A&M football again underrated by CFP committee while Texas remains overrated

An unbiased resume rating has Texas A&M football a few spots higher, while their in-state rival should be many spots lower.

By Graham Harmon

Oct 26, 2024; College Station, Texas, USA; Texas A&M Aggies running back Amari Daniels (5) runs the ball against the LSU Tigers during the fourth quarter. The Aggies defeated the Tigers 38-23; at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images.
Oct 26, 2024; College Station, Texas, USA; Texas A&M Aggies running back Amari Daniels (5) runs the ball against the LSU Tigers during the fourth quarter. The Aggies defeated the Tigers 38-23; at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images. / Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images
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Texas A&M football once again underranked by CFP committee relative to metrics, while Longhorns receiving massive benefit of doubt

Texas A&M football is once again ranked in the College Football Playoff committee's top 25, the second straight week where the Aggies have appeared. Though last week saw the Aggies receive an improved ranking relative to where they were in the AP Poll, this week they are dead even with that ranking, remaining at 15.

This is due to LSU's loss to Alabama and Ole Miss's win over Georgia affecting the movement of those teams, rather than the Aggies doing anything themselves. A&M was idle this week, on a bye, so they wouldn't have had a chance to move up on the merits anyway.

Even so, the Aggies are still underranked. Kelley Ford of KFord Ratings has created a handy little graphic that shows how overranked or underranked each team is compared to his "most deserving" rankings, which demonstrate, based on statistical profiles and performance by each team, where they should fall in the top 25.

According to this, the Aggies are three spots below where they should be. KFord has them as the 12th most deserving team right now, which would put them right in the field, depending on how things shake out with conference championships.

The most overranked teams, according to this metric, are Tulane, Texas, Wazzu, and Louisville. All of these teams are outside the top 15 with the notable exception of the Longhorns, who are mystifyingly still up in the top 5.

This is a team with exactly one win over a winning P4 squad—Vanderbilt, who they beat by three points—and zero ranked wins. Their lone loss just keeps looking worse as the Georgia Bulldogs decline in quality, as well.

It should be noted, too, that KFord takes into account how a team performs in given games, so this is not an example of a rating like this failing to take into account how dominant (or not dominant) a team has been in their games. It's, simply put, a classic case of a team being overranked.

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