Texas A&M faces one more team in this regular season— and it's one that Aggie fans have been waiting for since late November of last year. Things didn't go the Aggies' way last year, but the 2025 season has shaped up far differently— to where the Aggies are now actually favored to take home a win in Austin and finish the regular season undefeated.
Of course, as we all know, rivalry games can get crazy, and Texas is certainly a very talented team. Talent only goes so far— Texas A&M fans know that better than anyone— but it also means a given team can really jump up and bite you if you're not careful (see what Texas A&M did to LSU in 2022).
Full breakdown and prediction for Texas A&M football vs Texas: Why Aggies can take home a rivalry win in Lone Star Showdown
So should Aggie fans feel confident in this game and what their team has rolling into the state capital? They certainly have several reasons to be, which we began to outline earlier in the week.
But as we roll into the Thanksgiving holiday and people get off of work, it's time to break down this matchup on a little bit more of a granular level. There's quite a few interesting spots to look at with how both of these teams are played, and this article will cover five vital areas to keep your eyes on.
First, we'll take a look at the chess match on the back end between Sarkisian and Elko. Then, we'll examine the pressure numbers for each team. The pass-run splits (and when in the game they might shift) will be the next topic, before a look at third downs— closing out with a breakdown of explosive play potential on either side.
What these reveal is that the Aggies— on paper at least— hold several key advantages. There are things that Texas may be able to exploit (and who knows, they could come out and play like a completely different team on Friday), but if the chalk holds, this is a matchup that favors the Aggies mightily.
Without any further ado, let's jump into the breakdown, taking a look first at the Texas pass game against the A&M pass defense.